The 196th Manchester derby is a key game in the Premier League season as both Manchester United and Manchester City, two of England`s biggest clubs, look to improve after сезонов that haven`t met their high standards. Manchester United, playing at home, are focused on finishing the season strong and may also be thinking about their Europa League quarterfinal match on Thursday in Lyon. This Europa League run could be their best chance to qualify for European competition next season, as they are currently in the bottom half of the Premier League table.
For Manchester City, the pressure is higher in their remaining games. The reigning champions are currently without their main striker, Erling Haaland, for a significant period. They are trying to stay in the top five to ensure Champions League qualification for next season. They started well without Haaland with a 2-0 victory over Leicester City in their previous game, but this Manchester derby will be a tougher challenge for manager Pep Guardiola. Guardiola has a strong record at Old Trafford in league games, winning five out of nine visits, which is already a league record. A sixth win here would give City a significant boost for the rest of the season.
Manchester United vs. Manchester City Starting Lineups
Manchester United: Andre Onana; Noussair Mazraoui, Harry Maguire, Leny Yoro; Diogo Dalot, Manuel Ugarte, Casemiro, Bruno Fernandes, Patrick Dorgu; Alejandro Garnacho, Rasmus Hojlund
Manchester City: Ederson; Matheus Nunes, Ruben Dias, Josko Gvardiol, Nico O`Reilly; Ilkay Gundogan, Mateo Kovacic, Kevin de Bruyne; Bernardo Silva, Phil Foden, Omar Marmoush
Last Meeting
Their previous match at the Etihad Stadium wasn`t a classic in terms of overall quality, but there were standout moments. Manchester United, trailing 1-0 after a goal from Josko Gvardiol, made a game-changing substitution by bringing on Amad Diallo. Diallo quickly made an impact, winning a penalty that Bruno Fernandes converted to equalize. Then, Diallo scored himself with a powerful shot from a difficult angle after running onto a through ball, stunning Manchester City at home.
What the Managers Are Saying
Manchester United: Despite Manchester United`s recent defeat to Nottingham Forest, which meant they had lost nine out of 19 Premier League matches under the new manager, Amorim believes the team is showing improvement. He stated, “It`s been consistent since the season began. We are improving our style of play. We are creating more opportunities and controlling games more.”
He added, “But ultimately, not winning is disappointing, and that`s understandable. We know this season will have its ups and downs. We need to focus on the next game.”
Manchester City: Pep Guardiola highlighted the importance of maintaining momentum after City`s recent wins against Bournemouth in the FA Cup and Leicester City in the Premier League. He is aware of the competition for top spots, with teams like Newcastle United and Aston Villa also in good form, and Nottingham Forest competing for a top-five place. Other teams like Brighton and Bournemouth are also aiming to close the gap.
Guardiola emphasized, “Eight games remaining. Every game is crucial.”
Key Storyline: Alejandro Garnacho`s Shooting
Since Amorim became Manchester United`s manager, Alejandro Garnacho has been one of the most frequent shooters in the Premier League. However, despite taking many shots (3.28 per 90 minutes, more than many players including Haaland), his expected goals (xG) per 90 minutes is relatively low. This suggests that while Garnacho is eager to shoot, his shot selection and quality might need improvement.
He tends to shoot whenever he sees an opportunity, regardless of the situation. While his confidence to shoot is a positive trait for a young player, the effectiveness of his shots could be better. For example, in the game against Nottingham Forest, his six shots produced less than half the expected goals of a center-back, Harry Maguire.
Player to Watch: Jack Grealish
Jack Grealish recently returned to Manchester City`s Premier League starting lineup and marked it with his first league goal in over a year. This goal provides him with a platform to build on. Interestingly, he played in a role similar to his position before joining City, as a number 10 who can carry the ball forward and shoot. Although he only took two shots in his recent game, his overall performance was impressive. The question now is whether he will get more opportunities to build on this form, especially with competition from players like Phil Foden.
Prediction
Manchester United, especially at Old Trafford, are always tough opponents for Manchester City, even in defeat. However, expect Manchester City`s overall quality to eventually show through and secure a victory. Prediction: Manchester United 0, Manchester City 1
